Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.475717 0.543979 0.617641 0.702923 0.798816 0.903187 1.025264
2025-05-11 0.368293 0.460341 0.567743 0.701828 0.864219 1.053973 1.291908
2025-05-18 0.290508 0.394624 0.525233 0.699940 0.926182 1.207788 1.583170
2025-05-25 0.234430 0.344386 0.491971 0.702351 0.991911 1.373398 1.910357
2025-06-01 0.193531 0.306011 0.466807 0.709861 1.063491 1.553854 2.278402
2025-06-08 0.158353 0.268668 0.436107 0.703549 1.113288 1.708879 2.628796
2025-06-15 0.135956 0.246197 0.422982 0.719863 1.196342 1.918672 3.078967
2025-06-22 0.113155 0.218468 0.396671 0.710802 1.237939 2.069639 3.456000
2025-06-29 0.097984 0.200804 0.383646 0.720598 1.309384 2.272413 3.931781
2025-07-06 0.081680 0.177770 0.357358 0.703251 1.332252 2.397935 4.294309
2025-07-13 0.073708 0.169194 0.355636 0.728835 1.431341 2.658175 4.902320
2025-07-20 0.067094 0.162052 0.355335 0.756542 1.536605 2.937858 5.567336
2025-07-27 0.059111 0.150607 0.345101 0.764317 1.606995 3.165057 6.165800
2025-08-03 0.051561 0.138594 0.331769 0.763936 1.661524 3.368534 6.740225
2025-08-10 0.045037 0.127620 0.318840 0.762415 1.713273 3.571217 7.330744
2025-08-17 0.039763 0.118595 0.308732 0.765359 1.774077 3.796222 7.982172
2025-08-24 0.035541 0.111372 0.301572 0.773702 1.846800 4.050570 8.710946
2025-08-31 0.031053 0.102403 0.288704 0.767017 1.886026 4.240748 9.328341
2025-09-07 0.028374 0.097971 0.286355 0.784762 1.980980 4.552777 10.215014
2025-09-14 0.024787 0.089991 0.273511 0.775019 2.012134 4.733467 10.846093
2025-09-21 0.022482 0.085447 0.269053 0.785658 2.091737 5.024126 11.729196
2025-09-28 0.019400 0.077595 0.254088 0.766912 2.098850 5.156769 12.285601
2025-10-05 0.018214 0.075903 0.256442 0.794614 2.222511 5.558877 13.456046